BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
-----------------------------------------------
Central Florida
Class: 1A Class Rank: 59 Conference: American Athletic Conference Record: (4-4) Overall: (6-7) Overall Strength = 139.99
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 09/03/2016 Home W 140.94 38 0 1B 80 ( 5- 6) South Carolina St 1.28 * 36.72
2 09/10/2016 Away L 134.62 14 51 1A 4 ( 10- 3) Michigan -5.03 * -31.97
3 09/17/2016 Home L 126.19 24 30 1A 62 ( 6- 7) Maryland -13.47 7.47
4 09/24/2016 Away W 159.10 53 14 1A 121 ( 4- 8) Florida Int'l 19.44 19.56
5 10/01/2016 Away W * 148.33 47 29 1A 94 ( 3- 9) East Carolina 8.67 9.33
6 10/15/2016 Home L * 145.31 25 26 1A 29 ( 10- 4) Temple 5.66 -6.66
7 10/22/2016 Away W * 131.79 24 16 1A 112 ( 3- 9) Connecticut -7.86 15.86
8 10/29/2016 Away L * 142.77 24 31 1A 39 ( 9- 4) Houston 3.12 -10.12
9 11/05/2016 Home W * 160.81 37 6 1A 84 ( 4- 8) Tulane 21.16 9.84
10 11/12/2016 Home W * 148.30 24 3 1A 92 ( 4- 8) Cincinnati 8.64 12.36
11 11/19/2016 Home L * 130.29 20 35 1A 33 ( 10- 3) Tulsa -9.36 -5.64
12 11/26/2016 Away L * 131.51 31 48 1A 34 ( 11- 2) South Florida -8.14 -8.86
13 12/17/2016 Home L 115.54 13 31 1A 76 ( 8- 5) Arkansas St -24.11 6.11
Averages 139.65 28.8 24.6
Best game: 160.81 = 31 point win over Tulane
Worst game: 115.54 = 18 point loss to Arkansas St
Team stdev: 12.98